We salvaged our Saturday with a UFC pick of Tony Ferguson.  We attempted to update the site showing that, but there was a technical error.

Today, we’re going to chase all day if we fall early.  The double-or-nothing theory.

1pm  Ravens  +3′  Casual  (Big Ben is “expected” to play.  If he doesn’t then this is great value.  If he does, it is an overreaction by the public since the Ravens are home.)

1pm  Browns  +7′  High stakes.  (The Browns aren’t as bad as they seem.  This is an easy game for the Cowboys to have a let down.  Browns get Coleman back at WR which will open up the field quite a bit.)

4:05pm  Rams  +3   Casual  (Panthers were exposed.  One good game doesn’t change that.)

4:25pm  Colts  +7′  Casual  (Packers defense has too many injuries for the Colts to not at least get a back door cover.)

4:25pm  Titans  +4  Casual  (We admit, we lose betting on the Titans almost as much as we do betting on the Bucs.  We’re not sure why we keep finding value here.  Perhaps because the public keeps winning betting against them.)

8:30pm   Raiders  Pk  Nominal  (Derek Carr.)

Monday Night Football

8:25pm  Bills  +7  Casual  (Seahawks are overrated because their QB is overrated.  Tyrod Taylor is better, which isn’t saying much.)