Sunday Funday!

Posting this during the USC – Texas game.  Texas deserves to win, yet so deserves to lose.  Kids.

NFL…

1pm  Jacksonville Jaguars  +3  Solid

1pm  New Orleans Saints  +7  Casual

1pm  Chicago Bears  +7  Casual

1pm  Cleveland Browns  +7′  Casual

4:25pm  San Francisco 49ers  +14  Nominal

4:25pm  Denver Broncos  +3  Solid

4:25pm  LA Rams  -3  Casual

 

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Saturday’s Slate

Our system produced too many games and we had a hard time narrowing it down to a more manageable level.  We chose games spread throughout the day to lead to a more entertaining slate.

This early in the season we tend to have more nominal plays than anything else.

Noon  Akron  +11  Nominal

3:30pm  Boston College  +14  Nominal

4pm  Missouri  -7  Nominal

7:30pm  Kentucky  +7  Casual

*8pm  Rice  +23  Casual

*8pm  Miami (Ohio)  -4   Casual

UPDATE:

First, we apologize for the Akron pick.  Our system works best when run closer to game time or at least same day as it takes betting trends into consideration.  If we had run this today, Akron would not have been picked.  All other games still look good.

*In fact, Rice is now +23 and Miami (Ohio) dropped to -4.  Both better than where we were last night so we did a little extra on these and changed both to Casual plays.  The Mizzou line went to -6, but we missed it.  We’ve also added in two additional games:

8pm  Louisville  +3′   Casual

8:30pm  Texas  +17′  Casual  (We know, we know…)

Thirsty Thursday!

Go out and have yourself a drink!  Don’t drink and drive and all that too.

Okay…

Our record thus far:

  • College Games
    • Nominal 3-5-1
    • Casual 2-3
  • NFL
    • Nominal 3-4-1
    • Casual 2-1
    • Solid 1-1
  • Totals
    • Nominal 6-9-2
    • Casual 4-4
    • Solid 1-1

Now for tonight’s contests.

College

8pm  New Mexico  +15′  Nominal

NFL

8:25pm  Houston Texans  +6  Nominal

Monday Night Football Double Header

Tonight’s games are too close to call.  Our two nominal picks are only because our system came up inconclusive.  Our system did produce a casual play on the total of the early game.  Sorry for this late post.

Here you go:

7:10pm  Minnesota Vikings  -3  Nominal

7:10pm  Vikings/Saints Under 47′  Casual

10:20pm  LA Chargers  +3  Nominal

Sunday Funday!

It is finally here!  Our favorite day of the year!

First, let’s clean up yesterday.  We expected WVU to cover that spread.  It seemed like they were giving us that one, but we put a nominal play the other way to make a record of it so we can learn from it and adjust our algorithm.

Our record thus far:

  • College Games
    • Nominal 3-5-1
    • Casual 2-3
  • NFL
    • Casual 1-0
  • Totals
    • Nominal 3-5-1
    • Casual 3-3

Now on to today’s games.

1pm  Chicago Bears  +7  Solid  (Super Bowl hangover history matches up w/ our system.)

1pm  Washington Redskins  +1  Nominal

1pm  Detroit Lions  +2  Casual

1pm  New York Jets  +7′  Nominal

1pm  Oakland Raiders  +1′  Nominal  (goes against our system)

1pm  Houston Texans  -6  Nominal  (goes against our system)

4:05pm  Indianapolis Colts  +4  Nominal

4:25pm  San Francisco 49ers  +6  Solid

8:30pm  Dallas Cowboys  -4  Nominal  (Giants seem like the pick, but we’ll stick by this.)

 

Saturday’s Slate

Vegas is being sneaky.  We held off Friday night’s game of Purdue and Ohio because the line didn’t make sense.  How could one not bet on Purdue?  They were barely favorites at home on a lesser opponent who had critical injuries.  The public loaded up on Purdue.  Why would Vegas allow this?

They’re setting us up.  All of us.  You.  Me.  Billy Bob.  All of us.  But, how long will they continue to draw us in?  There are some apparent gimmies on Saturday, but they have to be fool’s gold, right?

I’m just not sure.  Normally later in the season it is the fool’s gold we’re so good at identifying.  But this season this early on we’re just not sure.

Anyway, here’s our picks:

Noon  East Carolina  +24′   Nominal   (We don’t blame you if you play WVU.)

Noon  Iowa State   +3  Nominal

3:30pm  MTSU  +10′  Casual

8pm  Rice  +1′  Nominal

8pm  Baylor  -15′  Casual