The public rolled yesterday which means we didn’t. There will be days like that. We’re glad we held off other games we were watching as the public ran away with a lot of them. Sometimes Vegas gets it wrong. We wonder if it is at times intentional. Give the addicts a taste of victory to draw them in further.
We’ve been quite busy with an office move and haven’t had time to share more commentary lately or to update our standings. We hope to by next weekend. One of the games we were on earlier in the week was the Cardinals at the Bills. Early action was on the Bills bring the line down. Now most betters are going with the Cardinals but the line hasn’t gone back up which tells us some big bets are going the way of the Bills. Our system says take the Bills, but we were on the Cardinals earlier in the week. We’re now just steering clear of the game.
The Titans still aren’t getting any respect from the betting public, but being at home for an early game against a west coast team bodes well.
We don’t like the Redskins team and neither does the public, but this is precisely the time you back them. There is value there even if it is difficult to fathom. Nobody ever said gambling was logical did they?
The Steelers always have their betters, but favored on the road against a decent Eagles team is comical. Should be a close game. A Steelers win by a FG doesn’t cover.
Here you go:
Titans +1 Casual
Redskins +3′ Casual
Redskins/Giants Under 46 Casual
Eagles +4 Solid
Steelers/Eagles Under 47 Casual
Rams +6 Casual
Rams/Bucs Over 41′ Casual
Bears +7 nominal
Saints -3 nominal
Falcons/Saints Under 53′ nominal
We only are betting nominally on the night games to provide some interest. No strong feelings at this time. We don’t like the Saints, but the public doesn’t either. We’re surprised they’re giving up three points, but our system says to take them. If this were a day game we’d steer clear, but being the only game on we want to make it more interesting.