Thursday/Friday

Hey!  We’ve been traveling over the past week and had connectivity issues while we were out.  Here are tonight’s and tomorrow’s games.  We’ll update our standings later.

Good luck!

Thursday

7:30pm  Georgia Tech +10′  nominal

8:25pm  Patriots +1 nominal

Friday

7:30pm  Eastern Michigan  +3  solid

8:00pm  TCU  -20  casual

9:00pm  Southern Cal  +3  nominal

Monday Manifesto

Since last year’s playoffs we’ve been on an NFL tear.  Although we specialize in NFL games, we recognize our current trend is unsustainable.  In our last 16 NFL games, we’re 15-1-1.  Here we are for this season both college and pros.

  • Load up 1-0
  • High stakes 1-0
  • Solid bets 3-2
  • Casual bets 9-9
  • Nominal bets 0-1
  • Overall bets 14-12
    +$32.5

Monday Night Football

Tonight has a double-header.  Just as Thursday night, we’ve a split.  Our football brains say Steelers while our system says Redskins.  We learned our lesson on Thursday that our system is smarter than us.  On the later game we find value in the 49ers at home.  So this is where we are:

7:10pm  Redskins  +2   Nominal

10:20pm  49ers  +2′   Casual

 

 

Sunday Funday!

The Big XII had some bad luck yesterday.  Oklahoma State had a BS untamed down ran against them that shouldn’t have occurred and gave up a game-winning/losing hail Mary and lateral to Central Michigan.  Then TCU stormed back against Arkansas and scored a nail in the coffin TD in the final minute to have it called back by a controversial call saying the WR who had been forced out of bounds by the defender by an inch had gone out on his own making him ineligible to touch the pass first.  They then had a game winning chip shot FG kicked too low and blocked.  TCU went on to lose in OT.  Once teams think the game is over and shut it down, it’s difficult to get that edge back.

We did well only because we loaded up on Vanderbilt.  That -3 line was so good I thought something might be up, but the public actually was going way in on MTSU.  Crazy!  Here’s where we’re at on the year.

Summary – for description see the About link at the top of the screen.

  • Load up            1-0
  • High stakes    0-0
  • Solid bets        2-2
  • Casual bets     7-9
  • Nominal bets 0-1
  • Overall bets    10-12
  • +$24.1

Best thing about our system is it allows you to have fun even when you lose a majority of games (which won’t be a year long thing) as long as you win the big ones (which will be a year long thing).

NFL SUNDAY

1pm  NY Jets  +1′  Casual

1pm  Jaguars  +6  High stakes

4:05pm  Dolphins  +10′  Casual

4:25pm  Cowboys  +1  Nominal

8:30pm  Patriots  +7′  Solid

NFL Kickoff… Carolina’s revenge?

Those who were with us on our infamous playoff run know how high we were on Carolina as a team even though in the one-game format advised taking Denver.  We stated in a multiple game format we’d take Carolina.  Here we are…

We’ve a systematic way of making our picks which are based on value.  We typically avoid using strictly our football observations.  We normally have unanimity in our selections at the site, but not on this game.  Our system says the value is on Denver, but our football opinion says Carolina wipes the floor with them.

This is similar to our Notre Dame – Texas debate where we correctly went with our system and picked Texas.  But that was unanimous.  This isn’t.

But it is the first NFL game of the season and we need to make a pick.  Sometimes you have to get away from the system.  As editor, I’m the tie breaker.

Thursday  8:30pm  Carolina -3    Casual Only

Weekend Recap

  • High stakes    0-0
  • Solid bets        1-0
  • Casual bets     4-4
  • Nominal bets 0-1
  • Overall bets    5-5
  • +$3.85

We felt good about Ole Miss until they went on a turnover binge.  Not sure if FSU just got them that flustered, if it manifested itself among the team.  All in all a solid week.  We felt good about a few more games than we had the courage to move into the Solid category, but this early in the season we’re still feeling things out.

The NFL Season kicks off Thursday.  This is shaping up to one of those rare instances our own football opinion will go against our betting opinion.  We’ve been quite good about being objective in our analysis, but we feel strongly that Carolina is a better team than Denver.  Unfortunately so doesn’t much of the public.  The line is currently Carolina -3 and it may go further.  We’ve not taken an official stance yet, though, so time to come to our senses.

The way we’re leaning on NFL Sunday’s picks, readers are likely to roll their eyes, so our Thursday pick is important in keeping our credibility.  We hope to make our Thursday pick by tomorrow night.  Stay tuned!

 

Sunday Funday w/ UFC snapshot

UFC Event

Conor is no longer a huge favorite.  Not a bad time to pick.  If you picked Aldo when the odds were good for you, you can hedge to the point you can’t lose.

Jeremy Stephens has a punchers chance with decent odds.  I think Holloway will win, but not a bad option.

Odds have swung back to have Rockhold the underdog.  Decent time to pay some cash on him.

NFL

1pm games

Sea/Bal Under 40′  (over seems to good to be true)

Baltimore +11

Tenn/NYJ  Under 43

Ind/Jax   Under 46

St. Louis +3

Alt/Car  Under 46

Buff/Phil  Under 47

Pitt/Cinci  Under 50′

4:05pm  Oak/Den  Under 43′

8:30pm Houston +4

 

 

Sunday Funday!

Wow!  I hope you didn’t mi$$ out on ye$terday’$ pick$ that were up on Friday night!

3-0 baby!!!!!  $$$$$$$$$$$$$

4-0 if you include the ca$ual play.

Today’s games:

1pm  Vikings  +2

1pm  Ravens/Dolphins  Under 43

1pm  Browns  +10  (casual play only)

1pm  Rams  +6

1pm  Bucs  +1

1pm  Falcons/Bucs  Under 45′

1pm  Jets/Giants  Under 47′

4:05pm  Chiefs/Raiders Under 45′

4:25pm  Eagles  +9

8:30pm  Colts/Steelers  Under 50