We do not have a ton of games on Saturday, but we’ve enough to keep you interested. We’re really looking forward to a great Sunday.
For Saturday:
Noon NC State +18 Nominal
3:30pm Akron +12 Solid
3:30pm Miami -7 Casual
7pm UConn +20 Casual
7pm Rice +3′ Nominal
We’ll be watching the Ryder Cup today, but we still have picks.
The Broncos showed how to beat Cam Newton and the League is following the blueprint. The Falcons getting points at home is too good to be true. The Broncos traveling to muggy Florida and giving points is another one too good to be true. The Titans continue to get no respect. The Rams fall into that category too, but we’re walking away from that game. We were on it earlier in the week. We were leaning Bills too, but backing off on it as well.
Here you go…
1pm Titans +4 Nominal
1pm Falcons +3 Solid
4:05pm Bucs +3′ Casual
Great day to parlay the above and monitor closely. You could hedge the late game if things are going well.
UPDATE:
Sorry. We should have bet the Rams as we alluded to. And we’re now done with Tampa Bay. We’ve been too high on them all year. We’ve been smart getting off the Panthers early, but disappointed on our TB decision.
Anyway…
Sunday Night:
Chiefs +3′ Casual
After we posted our picks for last night, we thought about switching the amounts. We’ve been high on Washington and knew Stanford was overrated. We felt BYU would impose it’s will in the 2nd half against Toledo as the altitude began to wear on them. We were correct, just came up 2 yards short and underestimated Toledo’s offensive consistency.
Today:
Noon Vanderbilt +11′ Solid
Noon Georgia Tech +8 Casual
3:30pm Illinois +21 Casual
7pm North Texas +17 Casual
7pm UTEP +21′ Casual
7pm Central Michigan +3 Casual
7pm Ole Miss -16 Nominal
3:30pm Purdue +10′ Solid
The above includes paying juice.
Nominal games are normally just bet for entertainment only meaning one of the few games on TV that we don’t have a good read on. We typically side with our system even if our personal opinions go against it.
We’re not shocked our nominal games are losing, but our solid plays are highly disappointing. Still, we’re up.
Sorry for lack of football talk this week. Office move has run into some snags.
Here are tonight’s games.
8:25pm Dolphins +7′ Nominal.
8pm UConn +28′ Nominal
8pm UConn/Houston Under 50 Nominal
8:30pm Kansas +28 Nominal
The public rolled yesterday which means we didn’t. There will be days like that. We’re glad we held off other games we were watching as the public ran away with a lot of them. Sometimes Vegas gets it wrong. We wonder if it is at times intentional. Give the addicts a taste of victory to draw them in further.
We’ve been quite busy with an office move and haven’t had time to share more commentary lately or to update our standings. We hope to by next weekend. One of the games we were on earlier in the week was the Cardinals at the Bills. Early action was on the Bills bring the line down. Now most betters are going with the Cardinals but the line hasn’t gone back up which tells us some big bets are going the way of the Bills. Our system says take the Bills, but we were on the Cardinals earlier in the week. We’re now just steering clear of the game.
The Titans still aren’t getting any respect from the betting public, but being at home for an early game against a west coast team bodes well.
We don’t like the Redskins team and neither does the public, but this is precisely the time you back them. There is value there even if it is difficult to fathom. Nobody ever said gambling was logical did they?
The Steelers always have their betters, but favored on the road against a decent Eagles team is comical. Should be a close game. A Steelers win by a FG doesn’t cover.
Here you go:
Titans +1 Casual
Redskins +3′ Casual
Redskins/Giants Under 46 Casual
Eagles +4 Solid
Steelers/Eagles Under 47 Casual
Rams +6 Casual
Rams/Bucs Over 41′ Casual
Bears +7 nominal
Saints -3 nominal
Falcons/Saints Under 53′ nominal
We only are betting nominally on the night games to provide some interest. No strong feelings at this time. We don’t like the Saints, but the public doesn’t either. We’re surprised they’re giving up three points, but our system says to take them. If this were a day game we’d steer clear, but being the only game on we want to make it more interesting.
Listen, we’ve a lot going on so we don’t have time for commentary, but we’re providing our picks. Pay attention to them.
Florida International +7 casual
UConn -3 casual
Rutgers +14 casual
Colorado State +17 casual
UTEP +11′ casual
Marshall +28 casual
UCLA +3′ casual
Hey! We’ve been traveling over the past week and had connectivity issues while we were out. Here are tonight’s and tomorrow’s games. We’ll update our standings later.
Good luck!
Thursday
7:30pm Georgia Tech +10′ nominal
8:25pm Patriots +1 nominal
Friday
7:30pm Eastern Michigan +3 solid
8:00pm TCU -20 casual
9:00pm Southern Cal +3 nominal
Since last year’s playoffs we’ve been on an NFL tear. Although we specialize in NFL games, we recognize our current trend is unsustainable. In our last 16 NFL games, we’re 15-1-1. Here we are for this season both college and pros.
Monday Night Football
Tonight has a double-header. Just as Thursday night, we’ve a split. Our football brains say Steelers while our system says Redskins. We learned our lesson on Thursday that our system is smarter than us. On the later game we find value in the 49ers at home. So this is where we are:
7:10pm Redskins +2 Nominal
10:20pm 49ers +2′ Casual
The Big XII had some bad luck yesterday. Oklahoma State had a BS untamed down ran against them that shouldn’t have occurred and gave up a game-winning/losing hail Mary and lateral to Central Michigan. Then TCU stormed back against Arkansas and scored a nail in the coffin TD in the final minute to have it called back by a controversial call saying the WR who had been forced out of bounds by the defender by an inch had gone out on his own making him ineligible to touch the pass first. They then had a game winning chip shot FG kicked too low and blocked. TCU went on to lose in OT. Once teams think the game is over and shut it down, it’s difficult to get that edge back.
We did well only because we loaded up on Vanderbilt. That -3 line was so good I thought something might be up, but the public actually was going way in on MTSU. Crazy! Here’s where we’re at on the year.
Summary – for description see the About link at the top of the screen.
Best thing about our system is it allows you to have fun even when you lose a majority of games (which won’t be a year long thing) as long as you win the big ones (which will be a year long thing).
NFL SUNDAY
1pm NY Jets +1′ Casual
1pm Jaguars +6 High stakes
4:05pm Dolphins +10′ Casual
4:25pm Cowboys +1 Nominal
8:30pm Patriots +7′ Solid
gridiron shark 