Super Bowl notes

As we stated earlier we expected the line would climb to Carolina Panthers -6.  If you had gotten in early and taken Carolina at -4′, you could then take the Denver Broncos +6 in an attempt to hit in the middle.

A low-risk high-reward strategy.

Most of the early money is pouring in on Carolina.  This means there is value with Denver.    Our own football evaluations show Carolina should cover this game.  Peyton Manning is as immobile as Carson Palmer.  However, Carolina has shown a tendency to not put teams away other than the Arizona Cardinals.  And Denver has a championship caliber defense.

Since there is value on Denver right now, bets will begin coming in on them.  Plus, Manning’s popularity will bring in some late bets for Denver too.  If you’re taking Denver, now is the time.  You can still find them plus 6 in many places.  We could see this game closing at -4′ where it started.  But, if we were to bet, we’d say it will close at -5.

For the record:

Sunday  6:30pm  Denver Broncos  +6  (Casual to moderate bet.)

If you want to bet the over – under, take the Under 46 (casual.)

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s