As we stated earlier we expected the line would climb to Carolina Panthers -6. If you had gotten in early and taken Carolina at -4′, you could then take the Denver Broncos +6 in an attempt to hit in the middle.
A low-risk high-reward strategy.
Most of the early money is pouring in on Carolina. This means there is value with Denver. Our own football evaluations show Carolina should cover this game. Peyton Manning is as immobile as Carson Palmer. However, Carolina has shown a tendency to not put teams away other than the Arizona Cardinals. And Denver has a championship caliber defense.
Since there is value on Denver right now, bets will begin coming in on them. Plus, Manning’s popularity will bring in some late bets for Denver too. If you’re taking Denver, now is the time. You can still find them plus 6 in many places. We could see this game closing at -4′ where it started. But, if we were to bet, we’d say it will close at -5.
For the record:
Sunday 6:30pm Denver Broncos +6 (Casual to moderate bet.)
If you want to bet the over – under, take the Under 46 (casual.)