NFL Conference Championship Games

Well, well, well…..  how fast the season goes by.  Here we are two weeks away from Super Bowl Sunday.  No surprise we’re once again talking about Patriots and Broncos.  Getting old, actually.

No surprise either that Tom Brady is favored by 3′ at Denver.  That’s getting old too.  Brady and the Patriots normally receive additional action since they consistently deliver.  Peyton Manning on the other hand often falls short in the playoffs.  Everyone recognizes Peyton has trouble pushing the ball downfield.  And everyone recognizes Belichick has perhaps the game’s best coach.  Everyone thing points to the Patriots.

Which creates value.  We’ll go Denver.

3pm  Denver Broncos    +3′    (moderate bet)

Our reason is we think this will most likely be a 3 point game one way or the other.  So getting points is a huge advantage.  The Broncos defense is stout while the Patriots offense is not dynamic.  This game will come down to turnovers and field position.  Whoever manages the basics of the game will win.  Home field advantage and points is too much to pass up.

The NFC Championship game is intriguing.  The Carolina Panthers have been dominant on their way to a 15-1 record.  They’ve blown teams out in the first half while holding on to win in the second half.  For some reason the public gives them less credit for the first halves and is very critical of the second halves.

The Arizona Cardinals sit near the top of the rankings in both team offense and team defense.  They have great individual players on both sides of the ball – namely Larry Fitzgerald and Patrick Peterson.  People love Fitzgerald.  People don’t like Panthers’ Cam Newton.

Cam is going to be the best player on the field.  The Cardinals had travel difficulties this week.  They’re a dome team playing on a bad field in cold conditions.  The Panthers know a Super Bowl berth is at stake.  They’ll concentrate for an entire game and win emphatically.

6:40pm    Carolina Panthers    -3′    (Heavy bet)

Do you agree?  Let us know in the comments!

 

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