Sunday Funday after 5-0 Saturday!

Give us a little whoop whoop!

We tend to finish strong on the season as betters tend to follow certain narratives which creates value for us.

We went 5-0 yesterday, but we weren’t aggressive with it.  Nor will we be too aggressive today.

1pm  Bears  +1′   Casual  (Not sure how the Bears are an underdog at home against a bad 49ers team.)

1pm  Texans  +7  Casual  (Packers are one of those teams that the betting public always over values.  The Texans defense is solid against the pass.  This will be a dog fight.  Only way Packers cover is a defensive or special teams TD.)

1pm  Jaguars  +3′  Casual  (Broncos traveling east for an early game.)

1pm  Rams  +14   Casual  (Patriots aren’t blowing people away this year.  14 points is a ton.)

4:25pm  Chargers  -3′   Nominal  (System pick.  Not sure about this one.)

8:30pm  Panthers  +7′  Nominal  (Two overrated QBs going head to head.  7 points is a lot.)

 

Saturday’s Slate

We finally learned to lay off the primetime games heading into the weekend.

Noon Florida  -10′  Casual

Noon  Indiana  +7′  Solid

Noon  Purdue  +14  Solid

3:30pm  Georgia Tech  +14  Casual

3:30pm  Army  +14  Casual

3:30pm  Missouri  -3′  Nominal

7pm  Hawaii  +18  Nominal

10pm  Arizona  +16  Nominal

Saturday’s Slate

We’ve finally learned our Thursday night lesson.  The public will win on Thursday more often than not.  Saturdays, though, are another matter.

Noon   Illinois   +8′   Casual

12:30pm   Pitt   +5   Casual

3:30pm  Clemson   -27   Casual

3:30pm   Fresno State   +16′   Casual

4pm   Arizona   +15   Casual

4pm   SMU   +3   Casual

7pm  NC State   +7   Solid

8pm   East Carolina   +10   Casual

8pm   LSU   +8   Solid

8pm   Ohio State   -16′   Casual

10:15pm   Utah State   +4′   Casual

Parlay Illinois, Pitt, NC State, and LSU.

Sunday Funday!

Winner winner chicken dinner!  Yesterday was a good day.  $$$

We love when our system starts having days like that.  They become more frequent as the season progresses.  Today’s games:

9:30am  Redskins  +3  Casual  (Josh Norman’s return is big here.)

1pm  Bills  +7  Casual  (going against Brady makes one’s stomach turn.)

1pm  Bucs  +1′  Solid  (We’ve been high on the Bucs all year and paid the price.  Doubling down.)

4:25pm  Packers  +3  Casual  (The Packers patch work defense will need to hold up on the back end to have a chance here.)

4:25  Packers/Falcons Under 53  Casual  (see above.)

8:30pm  Eagles  +5  Solid  (Eagles defense is pretty good.  Should be a close game.)

Saturday’s Slate

The public has been winning these Thursday night contests.  Perhaps to draw them in for the weekends.  Something to keep in mind moving forward.

There a lot of casual games today, but we couldn’t find one we love.  At least, not yet.

Noon  Penn State  -13′  Casual  (heading into this we expected to go the other way since PSU was coming off the big win.  But the public is surprisingly going the other way. So…)

Noon  East Carolina  -7  Casual

Noon  Central Florida  +10  Casual

3:30pm  Texas  +4  Nominal  (our system actually likes this game a lot, but our own brains tell us Baylor, so we trimmed this back to a nominal play.)

3:30pm  Florida Atlantic  +21′  Casual  (we’ve had no luck with Florida Atlantic all year, and don’t like this play.  But, we stick with our system for now.)

3:30pm  Army  +7  Casual  (we didn’t realize Army was having a respectable season until this game showed up in our system.)

7pm  Marshall  +15′  Casual  (we’ve not liked Marshall much.)

7:15pm  South Carolina  +14  Casual

7:15pm  Ole Miss  +5  Nominal  (Auburn has played well and the public has noticed.  This one doesn’t sit easy with us.)

10:45pm  Oregon State  +13  Casual

11pm  Arizona  +5  Casual   (Arizona is bad.  Standford has been overrated.)

 

 

 

Saturday’s Slate

We do not have a ton of games on Saturday, but we’ve enough to keep you interested.  We’re really looking forward to a great Sunday.

For Saturday:

Noon   NC State   +18   Nominal

3:30pm   Akron   +12   Solid

3:30pm   Miami   -7   Casual

7pm   UConn   +20   Casual

7pm   Rice   +3′   Nominal

 

Sunday Funday!!!

We’ll be watching the Ryder Cup today, but we still have picks.

The Broncos showed how to beat Cam Newton and the League is following the blueprint.  The Falcons getting points at home is too good to be true.  The Broncos traveling to muggy Florida and giving points is another one too good to be true.  The Titans continue to get no respect.  The Rams fall into that category too, but we’re walking away from that game.  We were on it earlier in the week.  We were leaning Bills too, but backing off on it as well.

Here you go…

1pm  Titans  +4  Nominal

1pm  Falcons  +3  Solid

4:05pm  Bucs  +3′  Casual

Great day to parlay the above and monitor closely.  You could hedge the late game if things are going well.

UPDATE:

Sorry.  We should have bet the Rams as we alluded to.  And we’re now done with Tampa Bay.  We’ve been too high on them all year.  We’ve been smart getting off the Panthers early, but disappointed on our TB decision.

Anyway…

Sunday Night:

Chiefs  +3′  Casual

Saturday’s Slate

After we posted our picks for last night, we thought about switching the amounts.  We’ve been high on Washington and knew Stanford was overrated.  We felt BYU would impose it’s will in the 2nd half against Toledo as the altitude began to wear on them.  We were correct, just came up 2 yards short and underestimated Toledo’s offensive consistency.

Today:

Noon Vanderbilt +11′ Solid

Noon  Georgia Tech  +8  Casual

3:30pm  Illinois  +21  Casual

7pm  North Texas  +17  Casual

7pm  UTEP  +21′  Casual

7pm  Central Michigan  +3  Casual

7pm  Ole Miss -16  Nominal

3:30pm  Purdue  +10′  Solid

 

 

Standings Update

  • Load up 1-0
  • High stakes 1-0
  • Solid bets 5-5
  • Casual bets 22-19
  • Nominal bets 6-9
  • Overall bets 14-12
    +$8.3

The above includes paying juice.

Nominal games are normally just bet for entertainment only meaning one of the few games on TV that we don’t have a good read on.  We typically side with our system even if our personal opinions go against it.

We’re not shocked our nominal games are losing, but our solid plays are highly disappointing.  Still, we’re up.