NFL

NFL Picks Recap: 12-6

G Betting, college, football, Football Pools, gambling, Monday Night Football, NFL, sports, sportsbook , , , , , , , , , ,

Yes, 12 – 6.

Incredible week.

We started it off by correctly picking a New Orleans (+4) over Atlanta.  We capped it by correctly picking Philadelphia (-4) to cover against the Giants and Under 51.

Overall, we went 3-2 on Over/Under plays and 10-3 in game spread picks.

For the season, here is our NFL record:

NFL Regular Picks with spread equals 22 – 15 (excludes casual plays)

NFL Casual Picks with spread equals 5 – 3

NFL Overall with spread equals 27-18 (includes both regular and casual plays)

NFL Pool Picks with spread equals 25 – 17 (picks earlier in the week)

You can see how our picks mature from Wednesday’s Pool Picks to game day picks.

NFL POOL PICKS

Remember that these are our preliminary picks for pools only.  We’ll select true bets closer to game times.

San Francisco    +6′

Jacksonville    +5′

Cleveland    +5′

Pittsburgh    -2

Houston    +4′

New England    -9

Detroit    -2′

Tennessee    +4′

Washington    -3′

New Orleans    +4′

Oakland    +4

New York Giants    -3′

Philadelphia    +3

Baltimore    +7

Monday Meanderings

G Betting, college, football, Football Pools, gambling, Monday Night Football, NFL, sports, sportsbook , , , , , , , , , ,

What constitutes a catch in the NFL?  That TD “catch” by Golden Tate was bogus.  If I were a Bears fan, I would have lost my mind.

Speaking of losing my mind…  I’m not a Colts fan whatsoever, but that fake punt was the stupidest thing I’ve ever seen.  It was an insult to the game of football and I did lose my mind.  We still covered, though….  (wink)

How about that implosion by the Michigan punter?  First he drops the snap and then instead of falling on the ball he decides to pitch it perfectly to hit a Michigan State defender in stride racing for the winning touchdown.  I don’t think he could have set it up better if he tried.  We can still see Michigan beating Ohio State.  Michigan State is well coached, but not that good.  So Big Ten could have some challenges get into the Playoff.  Of course, an overrated Iowa team taking its lumps to Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship game will conveniently take care of that.  Ohio State will make the playoffs.

In today’s college football, to see a game end 9-6 is unheard of.  Georgia – Missouri somehow pulled that off.

Seahawks can’t seem to hold onto victories any more.  Two straight weeks they’ve allowed a team to come back to beat them. They may not make the playoffs this season.

We still like Pittsburgh as the team most likely to ruin the Patriots’ season come playoff time.

The Packers need to figure out how to move the ball with all their wide receiver injuries.  Eddie Lacy must be playing on a still injured ankle because he can’t seem to do anything.  Bye week came at right time for them.

Jay Gruden defends Cousins for stat lines similar to those of RG3 that make Gruden publicly trash him.  If RG3 weren’t a black conservative, there would be howls of racism.  The ‘skins need to give up on Cousins.

Now that Miami is back to running the ball, look for them to be competitive again.

EJ Manuel  didn’t look bad.

Monday Night Football

The Giants getting 4 points seems like the obvious play.  So of course we’ll go the opposite.

Philadelphia  -4 and Under 51

Sunday Funday!

G Betting, football, Football Pools, gambling, NFL, sports, sportsbook , , , , , , , ,

We took it on the chin yesterday and blame ourselves for backing off some of our games.  There were four other games we had listed on our pre game sheet and reduced the number to ten (excluding the casual play).  No sense arbitrarily reducing it to ten. The ones we backed off on were winners.  Lesson learned – play ’em all.

Which puts us in a quandary today since we’ve a feeling this could be a big week for the public.  But, we won on Thursday backing a Saints team that had little hope.  So…..  for today:

1:00PM EST Games

Cleveland    +4′

Buffalo    +3′

Kansas City    +4

Jacksonville    -2

Chicago    +4

Chi/Det Under 44′

Washington    +7

Pittsburgh    +4′

Pitt/Ariz Under 45′

Miami    +1′

4:05 – 4:25PM EST Games

Carolina    +7

San Diego    +10′  (casual play only)

SD/GD Under 51′

8:25PM EST Game

Indianapolis    +10′    (casual play only)

NE/Ind Under 54′

Monday Meanderings

G Betting, college, football, Football Pools, gambling, Monday Night Football, NFL, sports , , , , , , ,

First, people want to know our overall record thus far.  Remember we break picks down into categories of pool picks, regular picks, and casual picks.  Here we go:

NFL Pool Picks with spread equals 17 – 11

NFL Regular Picks with spread equals 13 – 11

NFL Casual Picks with spread equals 2 – 3

College Regular Picks with spread equals 20 – 15

College Casual Picks equals 3 – 0

We dug a hole our first week out, but quickly dug out of it.  Over the course of the year we feel confident we’ll correctly pick over 60% of our games.

Now for our Monday Meanderings….

This week’s college ranked teams to fall were #10, #13, #17, #19, & #23.  Oklahoma State would have been another if West Virginia had a QB.  Look for a change in West Virginia from Skyler Howard to William Crest after their game at Baylor this week. The reason is they then have a bye before traveling to TCU for a nationally televised game on a Thursday night.

We correctly forecasted that Texas would spoil someone’s season this year.  This is a team that has been underperforming, but has the talent to turn it around.  They could wreck the entire Big XII’s chances for a national championship, though we don’t believe that will happen.

Michigan State continues to get by, but it is only a matter of time before they take a fall.  We expect them to lose at least two games the remainder of the year.

Look for Michigan to be this year’s Ohio State.  The only difference being last year Ohio State lost to a horrible team yet somehow were still given an opportunity to get in the playoffs over more worthy teams while this year Michigan lost to a solid Utah squad.

Our college playoff predictions this year for now are:  Michigan, Notre Dame, TCU & Alabama.  Potential replacements are Ohio State, Baylor, Utah, and Clemson.

Aaron Rodgers is human!  Three turnovers?!  Yet they still won by 14 points.  The Packers defense is for real and has depth.

If you had jumped off the Eagles bandwagon after a couple weeks this season, don’t think about jumping back on.  They beat up on a bad Saints squad.  The Eagles aren’t as bad as they looked all year, but they are not as good as they looked yesterday. Stay away.

It appears the football gods are still not done punishing the Seahawks for their improbable comeback last year against the Packers in the NFC Championship Game.  Not only did they have defeat snatched from the jaws of victory in the Super Bowl, but then yesterday lost a 17 point lead to Cincinnati to lose again.  Packers fans smile.

The Redskins have a solid defense.  Sad they choose to play the “safe” QB in Cousins who is simply too limited to take them where they want to go.  RG3 may have a lower floor than Cousins, but he also has a higher ceiling.  The NFL isn’t the place to allow fear to drive your decisions.  Go with the higher ceiling player and see what happens.

We simply can not believe the Lions are winless.  This team has too much talent to be winless.  We won’t be shocked if they rebound to 8 – 8.

Poor Derek Carr was betrayed.  He had the Raiders poised for the upset against the Broncos with a late game drive into Broncos territory where he threaded the needle between two open Raiders receivers running crossing patterns.  Unfortunately neither receiver was looking for the pas and it went right in-between the two into the hands of a Broncos defender who intercepted the pass.

You can’t stop Josh McCown, you can only hope to contain him.   Just kidding.  But for fantasy players, he is an okay QB playing for a bad defensive team.  He may put up monster stats all year.

Monday Night Football

Take the under 46.

If you want to be able to root for one team, then a casual play only here – San Diego -3′

Sunday Funday!

G Betting, football, Football Pools, gambling, NFL, sports , , , , ,

Yes, we had a good Saturday of games.  We hope you came along for the ride.  Today we will contradict some of our pool picks as Wednesday was so long ago and the landscape has changed.

Here are our picks today:

Early Games

Tennessee    +3

Washington    +7′

Washington/Atlanta Under 48′

Buffalo/Tennessee Under 42′

Late Games

Detroit    +3

Arizona/Detroit Under 46

Oakland   +5

Denver/Oakland  Under 44′

Night Game

San Francisco    +7   (casual play only)

Thursday Night NFL Game – Week 5

G Betting, college, football, gambling, NFL, sports , , , , ,

We regret we’ve no leanings on the two college games tonight.  The NFL game is a curious one and we’re going to contradict ourselves.  When we posted our pool picks, we took the Colts -2′.  Some places are not even providing a line at the moment due to the question marks around the Colts’ QB situation.  The line has also moved to the Texans -2′.

This is a situation where the public is betting the Colts both on the spread and straight up at a 61% clip.  However, the line move indicates the heavy hitters are backing the Texans.  Additionally, the public is backing the under play at a 77% clip moving the line from 45 points to 43′.

We will likely never recommend taking an over as the under is most often the smarter play.   But, we would not recommend the under here.  If we were going to lay a little money for entertainment value only, we would take the over.

As for the game, we’ll go against our pool pick and make a casual play only on Texans at -2′.

If we had played this correctly, and we did not, we would have taken the Texans at +2′ and now grabbed the Colts at +2′ and attempted to land in the center.  Basically gambling the juice of one game to win twice.  Low risk – high reward.

UPDATE at 7:52 EST

With the announcement Luck wasn’t playing the line has moved again.  Houston is now -5′.

We placed a casual play only on Colts completely contradicting our earlier pick.  It all depends on when you got in.  Just go small and enjoy the anxiety of having something risked.